Trade War on Pause: What Equipment Finance Leaders Need to Know



In a dramatic turn of events, President Trump has agreed to postpone the implementation of 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports for 30 days after securing commitments from both countries to enhance border security and combat drug trafficking. The move, announced just hours before tariffs were set to take effect, temporarily averts a trade war that threatened to disrupt North American markets and supply chains. For equipment finance leaders, this delay provides a crucial but temporary reprieve to reassess risk exposure and financing strategies.

Suite by Monitor published a job aid and conversation guide for equipment financiers this week, designed to help navigate the evolving trade environment, understand tariffs and trade deficits, and evaluate the short- and long-term implications of proposed tariffs.

Concessions from Canada and Mexico

Following negotiations, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum each announced new security measures to address Trump’s key demands. Canada has committed to appointing a “fentanyl czar,” classify cartels as terrorist organizations, and enhance cooperation with the U.S. through a new joint task force targeting drug trafficking and money laundering. Additionally, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Canadian government reaffirmed a $901 million plan to strengthen border security, including deploying helicopters and advanced surveillance technology.

Meanwhile, Mexico has agreed to deploy 10,000 National Guard troops to its northern border to curb migration and drug smuggling, a key point of contention for the Trump administration. In exchange, the White House issued an executive order delaying tariffs until March 4, pending further progress on security initiatives.

China Responds with Targeted Retaliatory Tariffs

While Canada and Mexico secured a temporary reprieve, China has responded to Trump’s latest trade war escalations with selective retaliatory tariffs. Bloomberg reported that Beijing announced a 15% levy on U.S. energy exports, including crude oil and liquefied natural gas, as well as a 10% tariff on agricultural equipment and American oil.

Implications for Equipment Finance Leaders

For equipment finance professionals, the uncertainty surrounding tariffs complicates capital expenditure planning and lending. Delayed or fluctuating tariffs mean firms must evaluate exisiting portfolios for the potential impact of tariffs, reassess their lease structures, adjust financing terms and hedge against potential cost increases on imported equipment and parts.

While the delay has given North American businesses a short-term breather, Trump has made it clear that the reprieve is conditional. “I am very pleased with this initial outcome, and the tariffs announced on Saturday will be paused for a 30-day period to see whether or not a final economic deal with Canada can be structured,” Trump stated on social media.


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